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OngoingWorseningRisk Index — Q1 2026

King George County — Amazon Data Center

King George County, King George County, Virginia

34/100

HIGH RISK

Trajectory: Virginia General Assembly considered 60+ data center bills in 2026. New Governor Spanberger pledged scrutiny. Active downzoning and litigation.

Last updated 2026-03-29

King George County approved Amazon's rezoning, then elected a new Board of Supervisors that canceled the performance agreement, initiated a downzoning of 893 acres back to agricultural, and told Amazon's team to — according to the public record — "go to hell." The BZA denied vested rights 4-0. Amazon filed a circuit court appeal. The county chair said he was ready to "go to war."

Anti-DC candidates won the November 2023 Board elections. The new board canceled the performance agreement, downzoned Amazon's parcels, and denied vested rights.

BZA voted 4-0 to deny Amazon's vested rights request in March 2025. Amazon filed a circuit court appeal in April 2025.

Board Chair T.C. Collins publicly stated willingness to "go to war" with Amazon. This is the documented record — not hyperbole.

King George is in Dominion Energy territory but NOT in the core Northern Virginia data center infrastructure corridor. Grid capacity for multi-hundred-MW loads is uncertain.

Virginia is the epicenter of anti-DC legislation — 60+ bills in the 2026 General Assembly session.

Dimension Breakdown

Four dimensions that determine entitlement feasibility.

Regulatory Risk

30 pts

12/30

Rezoning from agricultural required. County approved Dahlgren West unanimously but downzoned Amazon parcels. BZA denied vested rights request 4-0. Active circuit court litigation.

Score: 12/30. Rezoning approved, then downzoned. Vested rights denied 4-0. Active circuit court litigation. The county government is using every tool available to reverse its own prior approval.

Infrastructure Readiness

25 pts

10/25

Dominion Energy territory but NOT in core Northern Virginia DC infrastructure corridor. County considering BESS for additional power. Grid capacity uncertain for multi-hundred-MW loads.

Score: 10/25. Dominion Energy territory but outside the Northern Virginia DC corridor. No evidence of dedicated DC infrastructure or interconnection programs for this site.

Opposition Density

25 pts

8/25

Politically effective opposition: anti-DC candidates won November 2023 board elections, leading to performance agreement cancellation, downzoning initiation, and board infighting. Horti-Group USA filed lawsuit challenging GEV approval.

Score: 8/25. The opposition won the election. That is more consequential than any petition. Anti-DC board now controls the approval process. Horti-Group USA filed a separate lawsuit.

Approval Timeline

20 pts

4/20

Multi-year process risk: rezoning approved September 2023, performance agreement approved December 2023, canceled January 2024, downzoning initiated April 2024, BZA denial March 2025, circuit court petition April 2025.

Score: 4/20. Multi-year process: rezoning September 2023, performance agreement December 2023, canceled January 2024, downzoning April 2024, BZA denial March 2025, circuit court appeal April 2025. No resolution in sight.

Key Findings

What the record shows.

Board of Supervisors initiated downzoning of Amazon's 893 acres from industrial back to agricultural in April 2024.

Fredericksburg Free Press

BZA voted 4-0 to deny Amazon's vested rights determination request in March 2025.

FXB Advance: BZA denies Amazon

Amazon filed circuit court appeal in April 2025 challenging the BZA decision.

FXB Advance: Amazon Files Appeal

Board Chair T.C. Collins publicly signaled willingness to "go to war" with Amazon.

Fredericksburg Free Press

Key Officials

The decision-makers on record.

T.C. Collins

Board Chair (2024)

Opposed

Documented Record

Publicly signaled willingness to "go to war" with Amazon. Told successor Board Chair to "go to hell" at August 2025 meeting.

Documented position based on public record.

Opposition Profile

Who is organizing.

4 signalshigh infrastructure

Anti-DC candidates won November 2023 board elections

Planning Commission voted 6-2 against GEV recommendation

Horti-Group USA filed lawsuit challenging GEV approval

AWS withdrew from Louisa County (adjacent Virginia county)

Timeline

How it unfolded.

September 1, 2023

Board approved rezoning of Amazon parcels from agricultural to industrial.

January 1, 2024

New board canceled performance agreement with Amazon.

April 1, 2024

Board initiated downzoning of 893 acres back to agricultural.

March 25, 2025

BZA voted 4-0 to deny Amazon vested rights request.

April 24, 2025

Amazon filed circuit court appeal.

Known Risks

What could change.

Active risk factors documented in public record.

Active litigation over vested rights and downzoning

Not in core Northern Virginia DC infrastructure corridor

Anti-DC board elected and actively hostile

60+ data center bills in Virginia General Assembly

Recommendation

HIGH RISK — Score 34/100

High Risk. Active litigation, hostile board, downzoning proceedings, and statewide legislative uncertainty.

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Zoning posture, approval pathway, community risk, and comparable outcomes. Sourced and scored by close of day, not months.

About This Index

RealClearPublished Q1 2026

RealClear is an entitlement intelligence platform for real estate development teams. This index scores U.S. markets across four dimensions of data center entitlement risk: regulatory complexity, infrastructure readiness, community opposition density, and approval timeline. Every claim is verified against primary source documents — meeting minutes, court filings, zoning codes, and legislative records.

Read the full methodology
20Markets Scored
15States Covered
249+Claims Verified

Ready to screen a live site? RealClear returns a scored intelligence brief — zoning posture, approval path, community risk, and comparable outcomes — cited to the primary source.