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ApprovedStableRisk Index — Q1 2026

Council Bluffs / Pottawattamie County — Iowa

Council Bluffs, Pottawattamie County, Iowa

77/100

LOW RISK

Trajectory: No moratorium. No restrictive amendments. Iowa HF 976 modified but did not eliminate DC tax exemptions. Council Bluffs continues approving new projects.

Last updated 2026-03-29

Investment Thesis

Google's 18-year presence ($6.8B+ invested) has established Council Bluffs as a mature DC market with supportive local government and MidAmerican Energy infrastructure.

Google has been in Council Bluffs for 18 years. In that time, the company has invested $6.8 billion, announced $7 billion more, and helped MidAmerican Energy deliver 100% carbon-free energy equivalent. The zoning process runs through Planned Industrial, with city staff and planning commission consistently recommending approval. A Change.org petition opposing the Edged project gathered 111 signatures. That is the entirety of documented opposition in a market with nearly two decades of data center operations.

Google has operated since 2007 — the longest continuous DC presence of any market in the index. $6.8B+ invested with $7B additional announced June 2025.

MidAmerican Energy (Berkshire Hathaway) provides some of the cleanest DC power in the country: approximately 7,800 MW wind fleet statewide, 407 MW wind PPA with Google, 100% carbon-free energy equivalent.

Iowa HF 976 (June 2025) modified — but did not eliminate — DC tax exemptions. 10-year exemption for cities over 30,000; 15-year for smaller areas.

Opposition is negligible: one 111-signature petition against the Edged project. No organized groups, no blocking outcomes, no coalition.

The Planned Industrial (P-I) district process is supportive but not fully by-right — planning commission recommendation and city council resolution still required.

Inside this score

How the 100 points break down.

Each dimension is scored out of its own weight, and the four add up to the score. A higher score is a clearer market-level path; it is not a likelihood of approval for a parcel.

  1. Regulatory Riskweight 30
    22 / 30
    What it reads, and where it stops

    Measures zoning classification, approval pathway type (by-right, CUP, rezoning), moratorium status, and regulatory trajectory. Higher scores indicate clearer regulatory paths.

    Reads the written route and the stated direction of a market's rules as of the edition date. It does not read a particular parcel's zoning, and a rule recorded here can change at the next meeting of the body.

  2. Infrastructure Readinessweight 25
    20 / 25
    What it reads, and where it stops

    Measures utility capacity, grid interconnection availability, water supply adequacy, and infrastructure investment commitments. Higher scores indicate better infrastructure readiness.

    Reads the utility, grid, water and investment record for the market. It does not confirm capacity at a given site, and delivery timelines for power and water are separate from entitlement risk.

  3. Opposition Densityweight 25
    20 / 25
    What it reads, and where it stops

    Measures organized opposition groups, petition scale, public hearing attendance, political consequences (elections, recalls), and legal challenges. Higher scores indicate less opposition.

    Reads organised opposition that shows on the public record: groups, petitions, hearings, elections and legal challenges. A quiet record is not evidence of support, and a loud one is not a count of votes.

  4. Approval Timelineweight 20
    15 / 20
    What it reads, and where it stops

    Measures historical approval durations, number of sequential approval steps, legal challenges affecting timeline, and demonstrated fast-track capabilities. Higher scores indicate faster approvals.

    Reads how long recorded approvals have taken and how many sequential steps they needed. Past duration is a record of what happened, not a schedule for the next application.

22 + 20 + 20 + 15 = 77 of 100 · Low Risk

How this market scores across four dimensions.

Regulatory Risk

30 pts

22/30

P-I (Planned Industrial) zoning with planning commission recommendation and city council resolution. Not fully by-right but well-established, supportive process. Google has operated since 2007.

Score: 22/30. P-I zoning with planning commission and council approval. Well-established process. Google has operated for 18 years. Not by-right, but consistently supportive.

Infrastructure Readiness

25 pts

20/25

MidAmerican Energy (Berkshire Hathaway) with 1,600+ MW Walter Scott Jr. plant, ~7,800 MW wind fleet statewide, 407 MW wind PPA with Google. 100% carbon-free energy equivalent delivered in 2024.

Score: 20/25. MidAmerican Energy is a best-in-class DC utility: 1,600+ MW Walter Scott Jr. plant, 7,800 MW wind fleet, 100% carbon-free equivalent for Google. No documented grid constraints.

Opposition Density

25 pts

20/25

Minimal and unorganized. One Change.org petition with 111 signatures targeting Edged project. No organized groups, no coalition, no blocking outcomes.

Score: 20/25. One 111-signature petition. No organized groups. No coalition. No blocking outcomes. 18 years of operations with no documented community conflict.

Approval Timeline

20 pts

15/20

Efficient processing. Edged approved via Resolution No. 24-166 on June 10, 2024. City staff and planning commission recommended approval.

Score: 15/20. Edged approved via Resolution No. 24-166 on June 10, 2024. City staff and planning commission recommended approval. Efficient but not as fast as TRIC or LEAP.

What the evidence supports.

Council Bluffs P-I district accommodates DCs through Planned Industrial Development Plan process.

Zoneomics

Google announced $7B additional Iowa investment on June 2, 2025.

Google Blog

Iowa HF 976 (June 2025) modified DC tax exemptions: 10-year for cities >30,000, 15-year for smaller areas.

BrownWinick law firm

Why developers are choosing here.

Google $6.8B+ invested since 2007

Multiple expansion phases: 2007, 2012, 2015, 2023, 2024. Plus $7B additional announced June 2025.

Source

Iowa DC sales/use tax incentive — 100% exemption on qualifying items

Computers, equipment, cooling systems, power infrastructure, and electricity eligible.

Source

Dates on the record

Dates on the record.

As of the 29 Mar 2026 edition

No date after the 29 Mar 2026 edition is on the record for Council Bluffs.

Only dates that this market's own timeline gives. No outcome is named.

No market is risk-free. Here's what to watch.

The credibility of a favorable score depends on honest risk disclosure. These risks are documented in public records.

HF 976 modified (limited) existing indefinite DC exemptions

One 111-signature petition against Edged project

Data Gaps

Transparent about what we do not yet know.

  • Could not retrieve actual P-I district zoning code text from municipal code

LOW RISK — Score 77/100

Standard process expected. Mature market with 18 years of DC operations and supportive local government.

From the record

What the public record holds for Council Bluffs.

Each case file below is a verified public record with its sources attached; each note is a dated research note. They sit beside this market's score; they do not change it.

Sector page: Data centers

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About This Index

Published Q1 2026

RealClear gives real estate development teams cited entitlement research before they commit serious diligence spend. This index scores U.S. markets across four dimensions of data-center entitlement risk: regulatory complexity, infrastructure readiness, community opposition density, and approval timeline. It is market-level triage, not a parcel score. Submit a specific parcel and you get a reviewed, cited brief whose claims trace to primary sources.

Read the full methodology
20Markets Scored
15Index States
235+Source-Backed Claims

Ready to screen a property candidate? RealClear returns a reviewed, cited brief covering zoning posture, approval path, community posture, comparable outcomes, open questions, and next questions for counsel, civil, utility, or the local team. We confirm the delivery window when we accept your completed property submission. Complex or thin-record sites may require more research.

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